How This Comparison Works
Most Roth vs Traditional comparisons only look at the 401(k) balance itself — which makes Roth look like the obvious winner whenever your tax rate doesn't drop in retirement. But that comparison is incomplete: a Traditional contribution lowers your tax bill today, and what you do with that tax savings matters. This calculator models both the 401(k) balance and what happens if you invest the Traditional tax savings in a separate taxable account.
The Two Strategies Being Compared
Traditional Strategy: Contribute $X to Traditional 401(k) (taxed later) + invest the tax savings ($X × current rate) in a taxable side account (taxed at long-term capital gains rates on growth only)
Both strategies assume the same $X contribution amount, since that's what the IRS elective deferral limit actually constrains — not your take-home pay. The Traditional strategy's side account is taxed just once at the end, at a flat 15% long-term capital gains rate applied only to its investment gains (not its contributions, since those were already after-tax dollars).
Why Roth Still Wins at Equal Tax Rates, Even With a Smart Side Account
If your current and retirement tax rates are identical, a basic 401(k)-only comparison would call it a tie. Reinvesting your Traditional tax savings in a side account closes nearly all of that gap — in a world with zero tax on investment growth, it would be an exact tie. But the side account's growth doesn't escape tax entirely: even a preferential 15% long-term capital gains rate is still something, while Roth 401(k) growth is taxed at 0%. So the "optimized" Traditional-plus-side-account strategy typically still lands a bit behind Roth when tax rates don't change — you generally need your retirement tax rate to fall meaningfully below today's rate before Traditional pulls ahead.
⚠️ Important: This calculator uses simplified assumptions: a flat 15% long-term capital gains rate on the side account's growth, no state taxes, no early-withdrawal penalties, and the same expected return for both the 401(k) and the side account. Required Minimum Distributions, Social Security taxation, and changing tax brackets in retirement aren't modeled. Use this as a directional comparison, not a precise projection — and remember the side-account advantage only applies if you genuinely invest the tax savings.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
🏆 About This Tool — Accuracy & Trust
🔒 Data Privacy: All calculations run entirely within your browser using JavaScript. Nothing you enter here is ever transmitted to our servers, stored, sold, or shared.
📐 Accuracy Note: Projections use 2026 contribution-limit context and standard compound-growth math. This is an educational estimate, not personalized tax or investment advice — consult a financial advisor or CPA for your specific situation.
📅 Last Updated: October 2026.